GM Marc Bergevin created the team for the playoffs, so winning a couple series may not be enough. There has been a lot of bad press surrounding the Habs this offseason. Last year, practically everyone was incorrect about the Habs' prospects until... everyone was wrong. In short, you don't make the playoffs and don't fight for the Cup. No easy task for the Habs, but I believe they will succeed.
Brendan Gallagher needs to play 70 games in excellent condition. Jeff Petry must defy age and become the Habs defensive leader. Carey Price needs 50 healthy games. So Shea Weber can get healthy for the playoffs. Probability 60%, as I only want three successful health stories out of four. Health typically differentiates champions from losers in all sports.