Ovechkin scored 887 goals in 2023-24, an average of 1.6 per game. So in October 2024-25,
Alexander Ovechkin would be the one who has flashed the red light the most. Given his age, we can expect him to slow down and beat the record around the middle or end of the 2024-25 season. If he keeps scoring 55+ goals every year, he'll break the record in 2023-24. In a more reasonable scenario, if he scores around 40 goals per season for the following few years, he should break the mark in 2024-25, shortly before his 40th birthday.